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Boise State vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Line: College Football Picks of the Week 13 Best Bets Based on Proven Model ‘ Utah

Bowl-eligible Mountain West teams go head-to-head Friday afternoon when the Utah State Aggies visit the Boise State Broncos for the regular-season finals for both programs. Utah State is 6-5 overall after winning their last three games. Boise State is 7-0 in the Mountain West game unbeaten with an 8-3 aggregate record in 11 games. Utah State is 4-7 against the spread while Boise State is 5-5-1 ATS in 2022.

Kickoff is noon ET in Boise. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Broncos as the 17-point home favorites while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas believes will be scored, is 51.5 in the latest Utah State vs. Boise State odds. Before you make a choice between Boise State and Utah State, you need to look at SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model for college football predictions and betting advice.

Friday’s game can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

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The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. For the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering nearly $3,000 in profits for $100 players using its top-flight college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on Utah State vs. Boise State and just laid out its picks and CFB predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Well, here are some college football odds and betting lines for Boise State vs. Utah State:

  • Distribution Utah State vs. Boise State: Boise State -17
  • Utah State vs. Boise State Over/Under: 51.5 points
  • Utah State vs. Boise State money line: BSU -800, USU +550
  • USU: The Aggies are 4-3 against Spread in the last seven games
  • BSU: The Broncos are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games
  • Utah State vs. Boise State: See tips at SportsLine
  • Utah State vs Boise State Streaming: Paramount+

Featured Game | Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies

Why the state of Utah can cover

The Aggies have solid offensive metrics on their side. Utah State ranks in the top five in Mountain West for total offense, generating more than 350 yards per game, and the Aggies are averaging 162.1 rushing yards per contest. Calvin Tyler Jr. is the engine of the ground game, producing 978 rushing yards (No. 3 at Mountain West) and 128 receiving yards this season. On the outside, Brian Cobbs is No. 4 in the conference with 769 receiving yards and he has 63 receptions this season.

On the other hand, the state of Utah is particularly stingy with pass defense. The Aggies only allow 196.5 yards per game, and opponents average just 6.8 yards per pass attempt while completing just 53.1% of passes. Utah State has 11 interceptions and 22 sacks in 11 games, putting constant pressure on the opposition.

Why Boise State can cover

Boise State’s defense is without light and is forming a strong foundation for the team’s overall success. The Broncos are allowing just 17.3 points per game this season, and Boise State is #2 in the Mountain West in total defense with just 268.0 yards per game. Boise State has the best pass defense in the conference, giving up just 145.4 yards through the air per game, and opponents complete just 49.8% of passes against the Broncos.

Boise State has allowed 11 interceptions and just nine touchdown passes, with the Broncos also in the top league at the Mountain West, giving up just 122.6 rushing yards and 3.5 yards per carry. Boise State has 25 sacks in 11 games and Utah State has thrown more interceptions (16) on offense this season than any other team in Mountain West.

How to make Utah State vs. Boise State picks

SportsLine’s model leans towards totals, with each team using a rusher expected to generate in excess of 75 yards. The model also says that one side of the variance is true in almost 60% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s CFB picks at SportsLine.

So who will win Utah State vs. Boise State? And which side of the spread applies in almost 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Utah State vs. Boise State spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model who smashed his college football picks and find out.