The Republican majority in the next Congressional House of Representatives rose to 220 Tuesday as Republican Kevin Kiley defeated Democratic opponent Kermit Jones in a close race for California’s 3rd congressional district.
The Associated Press called Kiley’s race Tuesday afternoon, two weeks after voters went to the polls to cast their ballots in the eastern California county. Kiley, a member of the California State Assembly, won with 53 percent of the vote.
Kiley’s victory brings the Republican House majority to 220, while the Democrats currently hold 212 seats. Three races are yet to be named by the AP: the 13th District of California, the General District of Alaska and Rep. Lauren Boebert’s (R) Colorado District.
While the AP hasn’t called Boebert’s race, which appears to be headed for a recount where Boebert has a slight advantage, its Democratic challenger Adam Frisch conceded on Friday, saying he believes the outcome of the election is unlikely to change.
Alaska’s general district is expected to be called Wednesday night when the state’s elections department announces the final unofficial results of the latest round under its ranking system. Rep. Mary Peltola (D) is expected to retain the seat she won in August’s special election to complete the late Rep. Don Young’s term in Congress.
Peltola currently has a significant lead over both of her Republican opponents, Sarah Palin and Nick Begich. Alaska’s relatively recent move to a ranked voting system, however, leaves the race up in the air pending final results.
If no candidate receives 50 percent of the votes in the ranking system, the candidate with the lowest number of votes is eliminated and voters’ ballots are redistributed to their second choice.
In the August primary, many Palin and Begich voters chose Peltola as their second choice over the other Republican. If similar dynamics play out, it could give the Democrat the seat again, even though the two Republican candidates combined had more votes.
In California’s 13th District, Republican John Duarte currently leads with 99 percent of the vote by fewer than 600 votes ahead of Democratic opponent Adam Gray.
If the last three districts proceed as they are currently tilting, Republicans would control 222 seats while Democrats would hold 213 seats. That would be the mirror image of the narrow House majority the Democrats received in the 2020 election.
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